The following are several hypothetical forecasts and bases for the market trend tomorrow:-Positive policies and incentives: Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party has released positive signals such as stabilizing the stock market, which will enhance the overall confidence of the market, attract capital inflows and push the market to open higher. For example, after the meeting of the Political Bureau on September 26th, 2024, the three indexes of A shares rose sharply [__LINK_ICON].-Market expectations are highly consistent: if investors have a highly consistent interpretation of the Politburo meeting and think that it is a major long-term positive, the consistency of the market is expected to prompt investors to buy stocks one after another, forming a strong buying power and pushing the market to rise sharply.
-Lack of market confidence: Despite the favorable policies, if investors still have doubts about the implementation effect of the policies and the long-term trend of the market, lack of confidence will lead to a weak willingness to follow suit, and it will be difficult to maintain the upward trend after the market opens higher, resulting in a decline.
-Sector rotation promotion: The related sectors mentioned in the meeting, such as real estate and finance, may take the lead to drive the market to open higher, and then the technology and consumption sectors will relay to promote the overall market to fluctuate upward, forming a benign sector rotation effect.-A large influx of funds: favorable policies stimulate the market to do more, and off-exchange funds may accelerate the entry, including institutional funds, foreign capital, retail funds, etc. The influx of a large number of funds will promote the rapid rise of the market [__LINK_ICON].
Strategy guide 12-14
Strategy guide 12-14